Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#293
Expected Predictive Rating-12.2#321
Pace64.0#314
Improvement-1.1#231

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#288
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#267
Layup/Dunks-5.7#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#72
Freethrows-1.9#297
Improvement-2.1#279

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#284
First Shot-2.6#253
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#319
Layups/Dunks-3.8#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#67
Freethrows-1.8#287
Improvement+1.0#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 157   @ Central Michigan L 83-89 13%     0 - 1 -2.6 +7.6 -10.2
  Nov 18, 2015 61   @ Virginia Tech L 62-71 4%     0 - 2 +2.8 -7.0 +10.0
  Nov 20, 2015 154   @ Winthrop L 69-80 13%     0 - 3 -7.3 -7.5 +0.6
  Nov 22, 2015 117   @ UAB L 55-61 9%     0 - 4 +0.1 -6.9 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2015 315   Alabama A&M L 69-73 67%     0 - 5 -17.3 -8.7 -8.8
  Nov 27, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 68-65 76%     1 - 5 -13.2 -3.8 -9.0
  Nov 28, 2015 106   Chattanooga L 52-62 11%     1 - 6 -5.4 -11.9 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2015 224   Samford L 71-77 42%     1 - 7 -12.6 -4.8 -7.9
  Dec 05, 2015 273   Jacksonville L 82-86 55%     1 - 8 -14.1 +0.7 -14.6
  Dec 13, 2015 295   Alabama St. L 60-63 62%     1 - 9 -14.8 -19.8 +5.1
  Dec 18, 2015 208   @ Loyola Marymount L 60-77 21%     1 - 10 -17.2 -15.9 -0.6
  Dec 21, 2015 310   Northern Colorado W 79-76 66%     2 - 10 -9.9 +2.4 -12.1
  Dec 29, 2015 81   @ Alabama L 59-67 OT 5%     2 - 11 +1.9 -8.2 +10.2
  Dec 31, 2015 309   SIU Edwardsville W 72-67 66%     3 - 11 1 - 0 -7.9 +5.8 -12.9
  Jan 02, 2016 264   Eastern Illinois L 64-75 52%     3 - 12 1 - 1 -20.3 -10.8 -10.0
  Jan 07, 2016 228   @ Austin Peay L 54-73 23%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -20.0 -21.4 +1.4
  Jan 09, 2016 174   @ Murray St. L 54-69 15%     3 - 14 1 - 3 -12.8 -12.0 -2.9
  Jan 13, 2016 338   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 74-60 58%     4 - 14 2 - 3 +3.3 +4.7 -0.1
  Jan 16, 2016 220   Tennessee Martin W 82-60 41%     5 - 14 3 - 3 +15.5 +13.8 +4.3
  Jan 21, 2016 201   @ Eastern Kentucky L 88-91 20%     5 - 15 3 - 4 -2.7 +8.7 -11.3
  Jan 24, 2016 144   @ Morehead St. W 78-74 12%     6 - 15 4 - 4 +8.2 +12.1 -3.7
  Jan 28, 2016 138   Belmont L 63-72 23%     6 - 16 4 - 5 -10.0 -9.2 -1.7
  Jan 30, 2016 167   Tennessee St. L 53-78 30%     6 - 17 4 - 6 -28.4 -18.0 -11.4
  Feb 06, 2016 197   Tennessee Tech L 58-68 36%     6 - 18 4 - 7 -15.1 -14.6 -1.6
  Feb 10, 2016 138   @ Belmont L 73-81 11%     6 - 19 4 - 8 -3.2 +1.7 -5.4
  Feb 13, 2016 197   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-72 18%     6 - 20 4 - 9 -1.2 -3.7 +2.3
  Feb 20, 2016 167   @ Tennessee St. L 46-61 15%     6 - 21 4 - 10 -12.6 -19.6 +5.6
  Feb 25, 2016 201   Eastern Kentucky L 54-76 38%     6 - 22 4 - 11 -27.5 -26.6 +0.1
  Feb 27, 2016 144   Morehead St. L 71-82 25%     6 - 23 4 - 12 -12.6 -2.8 -9.6
Projected Record 6.0 - 23.0 4.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%